Expected Pitching Record

INSTRUCTIONS: Select either "AL" or "NL" and enter pitcher's 2011 statistics for batters faced, innings pitched, hits, home runs, walks, intentional walks, hit batters, strikeouts, wins, losses and era. Then, click the green button and the pitcher's Expected Wins, Expected Losses and Expected ERA for 2012 will be computed:
American League	National League
Pitcher's Name:
Batters Faced:	(Must be an integer)
Innings Pitched:	(.33 or .67 inning OK)
Hits:	(Must be an integer)
Home Runs:	(Must be an integer)
Bases on Balls (Walks):	(Must be an integer)
Intentional Bases on Balls:	(Must be an integer)
Hit Batters:	(Must be an integer)
Strikeouts:	(Must be an integer)
Wins:	(Must be an integer)
Losses:	(Must be an integer)

2012 Expected Statistics for:
Expected Wins:
Expected Losses:
Expected ERA:

EPR – Expected Pitching Record:

The Expected Pitching Record or "EPR" method was first developed prior to the 1993 season in preparation for a possible Jaime Navarro arbitration case. Navarro had posted a 17-11 record in 1992 with an ERA of 3.33, despite having a poor walk/strikeout ratio. The EPR method was developed to demonstrate that Navarro's good pitching record was based in large part on extreme good luck and that with normal luck Navarro's record would be much worse. The following year, luck did even out for Navarro and he posted an 11-12 record with an 5.33 ERA.

EPR was next used by player agent, Myles Shoda prior to the 1997 season to prove that Reds' pitcher Dave Burba (11-13, 3.73) would have posted a much better won/loss record with normal run support.

EPR was dusted off and used by the Atlanta Braves prior to the 2009 season with the purpose of finding a pitcher who would be underrated and, thus, could be acquired for a price below his real value. EPR determined that Javier Vazquez (12-16, 4.67) was the most unlucky pitcher in baseball in 2008. The Braves acquired Vazquez and Vazquez posted a 15-10, 2.87 record for the Braves in 2009.